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Skyfall: Billion Dollar Bond

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  • Gustav_GravesGustav_Graves
    Posts: 11,119
    I'd say:

    $ 4,600,000 --> IMAX and other screens on Thursday Nov. 8th (confirmed)
    $30,800,000 --> Friday Nov. 9th (confirmed)
    $36,700,000 --> Saturday Nov. 10th (my prediction)
    $25,500,000 --> Sunday Nov. 11th (my prediction)
    $93,000,000 --> Opening weekend 'Skyfall' (my prediction)
    $97,600,000 --> US gross 'Skyfall' since Thursday (my prediction)

    If I'm right, but even if 'Skyfall' ends in the very high $80 million opening weekend, then 'Skyfall' is still on its way to catch the $900 million worldwide gross.

    If the trends are right, then 'Skyfall' will pass all previous individual worldwide grosses for each individual Bond film, including 'Die Another Day', excluding 'Casino Royale' and 'Quantum Of Solace'. The worldwide gross for 'Die Another Day' was $431,971,116
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,350
    $93 million is a little out of reach now I think.

    $500 million + by Monday is a given but with so few markets left to open, it's going to take some magic to get us to $900 million.
  • AgentJM7AgentJM7
    Posts: 421
    Your pessimism is very depressing @Samuel001! I can understand you may want to be 'realistic', but I would rather talk Skyfall up and then at least say we tried to "talk it up" - should it come in at anything below astronomical.

    I want to feel as if everyone is getting behind this film as much as possible!
  • Gustav_GravesGustav_Graves
    Posts: 11,119
    AgentJM7 wrote:
    Your pessimism is very depressing @Samuel001! I can understand you may want to be 'realistic', but I would rather talk Skyfall up and then at least say we tried to "talk it up" - should it come in at anything below astronomical.

    I want to feel as if everyone is getting behind this film as much as possible!

    Nah, I think it's not depressing :-). We are both realists...though one of us is a better realist ;-).
  • LeChiffreLeChiffre
    Posts: 1,548
    Germanlady wrote:
    LeChiffre wrote:
    Just heard a figure of $88 million at the US box office. Not sure if this is accurate as it's still only SAturday so it's surely too early to report the actual figure. Good if true though.

    Look two posts above. Its coming from deadline and they always do the maths in advane.
    Its just a guess, based on the numbers, they already have...

    Thanks GL. Didnt look properly! Just got back from my 3rd viewing of SF so still hyped!

  • AgentJamesBond007AgentJamesBond007 Vesper’s grave
    Posts: 2,630
    Wow. Quite astonishing
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,350
    AgentJM7 wrote:
    Your pessimism is very depressing @Samuel001!

    When estimates are at $80 million + and the people making said estimates have been doing it for years, it's not pessimism when saying it's not going to earn $93 million.

    Would you say the same if someone said it would earn $100 million over the weekend?

    There's hyping things up and there's being delusional. No point wishing for something that's just not going to happen. $88 million is by no means "below astronomical".

    And I still say with so few markets left to open, it's going to take some magic to get us to $900 million.
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    Samuel001 wrote:

    And I still say with so few markets left to open, it's going to take some magic to get us to $900 million.
    That also implies that people will cease to go seeing Skyfall after 12 days of release, by magic ?
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,350
    maxcraig wrote:
    Samuel001 wrote:

    And I still say with so few markets left to open, it's going to take some magic to get us to $900 million.
    That also implies that people will cease to go seeing Skyfall after 12 days of release, by magic ?

    It'll top $750 million, maybe $800 million but it won't have the legs to go that far. It's not magic, it what happens the longer a film is out - less people go to watch it.
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    Samuel001 wrote:
    maxcraig wrote:
    Samuel001 wrote:

    And I still say with so few markets left to open, it's going to take some magic to get us to $900 million.
    That also implies that people will cease to go seeing Skyfall after 12 days of release, by magic ?

    It'll top $750 million, maybe $800 million but it won't have the legs to go that far. It's not magic, it what happens the longer a film is out - less people go to watch it.
    But if the film has a good word-of-mouth, it can maintain its audience or increase. Like in France in the first week there were 1800 000 tickets sold, and it it's second week there were 2100 000 tickets sold.
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    Just in :
    $87M according to Deadline.
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,350
    It still won't be enough. $900 million, I feel is completely out of reach.

    $87 million is a great result. Now, I'll hold my tongue. $20 million up on the last film.
  • GermanladyGermanlady
    Posts: 6,601
    maxcraig wrote:
    Just in :
    $87M according to Deadline.

    I don't find that.

  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,350
    Germanlady wrote:
    maxcraig wrote:
    Just in :
    $87M according to Deadline.

    I don't find that.

    It's in their headline.
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    edited November 2012 Posts: 229
    It's $88M now with $30.8M Friday, $33.8M Saturday, and an estimated $20.3M Sunday
    without taking into account the Imax pre release $4.6M.
    I think it's safe to say Skyfall's box office in the US will be around $90M.
  • GermanladyGermanlady
    Posts: 6,601
    Got it now. Wasn't there a moment ago. Thanks
    Now lets get the 500 Mill. ;)
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    Gustav_Graves prediction could turn into reality :D
  • NicNacNicNac Administrator, Moderator
    Posts: 7,570
    DarthDimi wrote:
    Like all the Craigs before this one, SF gets some harsh words from those who fail to cope with the fact that it isn't a bland copy of GF or TB - although had it been, others would no doubt have complained about that in turn. No Bond film can satisfy all fans equally well but it looks like a majority of votes still turns to SF as the best or nearly the best of the Craig Bonds. With the income numbers, it seems a lot of people out there are convinced as well. The film works and collateral complaints or poor reviews are a constant to be reckoned with. Unanimous agreement is a fantasy anyway.

    I for one am glad with these numbers. I feel like they 'confirm' my own sentiments towards the film. Had it not been like this, it wouldn't have bothered me in the least though. I love SF, I find a lot of things in it that appeal to the type of Bond fan I am (for there are, indeed, many types). Whatever the numbers at the BO, it would have been the same to me. But I guess the numbers, as they are now, are a bonus. ;-)

    Some folks prefer the plastic Bond of DAD, others prefer the action Bond of TND, others still would like to return to the 60s and then some hope each and every successive Bond film to be a carbon copy of CR. I don't mind any of those (except the latter) - I merely like each Bond film to be slightly different than the one before it and the one that comes after it. That way I have a Bond film to fit any mood and mindset I may bring to an evening of film watching. For me, SF fills yet another gap and I have no trouble accepting that it isn't CR 2.0 - with Royale being one of my top Bonds of all times - because even CR 2.0 wouldn't be CR and might feel bland since we've already walked that path. Keep the elements of the mystical Bond formula there, but please shift and shake and move them around so that every new Bond film provides us with a fresh permutation instead of a rigid and thus annoyingly predictable self-parody.
    Fine post Dimi, you have said it all.
  • HASEROTHASEROT has returned like the tedious inevitability of an unloved season---
    edited November 2012 Posts: 4,399
    maxcraig wrote:
    It's $88M now with $30.8M Friday, $33.8M Saturday, and an estimated $20.3M Sunday
    without taking into account the Imax pre release $4.6M.
    I think it's safe to say Skyfall's box office in the US will be around $90M.

    BoxOfficeMojo has up the same numbers... pretty much between $87 - $90 million... which is a big opening for Bond here in the states...

    the IMAX showing i went to on friday was all but maybe 10 or 20 filled to capacity - and the showing directly after ours was sold out - there were people in line waiting for the theater to be cleared out and cleaned before they could go in...

  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-skyfall-nabs-388561
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,350
    Some nice stats here:

    The film skewed older, with 75 percent of the audience over age 25. Males made up 60 percent of those buying tickets.
  • Gustav_GravesGustav_Graves
    edited November 2012 Posts: 11,119
    People tend to forget that both Sony Pictures and also BoxOfficeMojo tend to be careful in predicting. Too careful to be honest.

    Yesterday, the predictions where around 80 million when Saturday and Sunday were not coming in yet. Today it's 87.8 million when Sunday still needs to fully start in the USA. Having said that: On Monday the official numbers come in...and those numbers will pass the 90 million Dollar mark.
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    Posts: 229
    $90M
    http://www.deadline.com/2012/11/skyfall-opens-with-imax-midnights-as-321m-bond-movie-abroad-arrives-in-u-s-canada-spielbergs-lincoln-platforms/
  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    edited November 2012 Posts: 13,350
    $90 four day remember, only $87.8 weekend. The three day finals, will stay around that figure, just missing $90 million.

    As of now:

    1. $1,037,291,060.32 - Thunderball
    2. $932,346,267.74 - Goldfinger
    3. $843,280,463.96 - Live And Let Die
    4. $773,204,227.54 - You Only Live Twice
    5. $707,967,950.50 - The Spy Who Loved Me
    6. $682,098,608.86 - Casino Royale
    7. $670,341,133.13 - Moonraker
    8. $662,795,358.02 - Diamonds Are Forever
    9. $629,928,504.77 - Quantum Of Solace
    10. $596,667,068.63 - From Russia With Love
    11. $555,648,360.42 - Die Another Day
    12. $534,777,984.42 - GoldenEye
    13. $517,040,163.49 - On Her Majesty's Secret Service
    14. $502,584,334.85 - The World Is Not Enough
    15. $497,181,376.24 - For Your Eyes Only
    16. $480,131,415.66 - Tomorrow Never Dies
    17. $458,120,146.04 - The Man With The Golden Gun
    18. $456,431,419.48 - Dr. No
    19. $435,630,647.59 - Octopussy
    20. $411,000,000.00 - Skyfall
    21. $389,480,795.77 - The Living Daylights
    22. $339,368,258.36 - A View To A Kill
    23. $291,436,616.45 - Licence To Kill

    International numbers are still to come.
  • JWESTBROOKJWESTBROOK
    Posts: 5,745
    I'll just wait to update the thread title until later today. It is only noon here in the states after all. :P
  • DarthDimiDarthDimi Behind you!Moderator
    Posts: 23,551
    Samuel001 wrote:
    Some nice stats here:

    The film skewed older, with 75 percent of the audience over age 25. Males made up 60 percent of those buying tickets.

    I'm actually pleased with that. Kids may appreciate a different type of films today but in under ten years their taste might have shifted to more grown-up films. If I were a Bond filmmaker, I'd want my audience to like the film from 25 onwards, not until it has turned 25. ;-) DAD may have been aiming a bit in the wrong direction. ;-)

  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    edited November 2012 Posts: 229
    DarthDimi wrote:
    Samuel001 wrote:
    Some nice stats here:

    The film skewed older, with 75 percent of the audience over age 25. Males made up 60 percent of those buying tickets.

    I'm actually pleased with that. Kids may appreciate a different type of films today but in under ten years their taste might have shifted to more grown-up films. If I were a Bond filmmaker, I'd want my audience to like the film from 25 onwards, not until it has turned 25. ;-) DAD may have been aiming a bit in the wrong direction. ;-)
    In France, I saw parents bringing their children about 9 or 10 to see Skyfall. One of them sat in front of me and got bored during the first half of the film because of political dialogues and what have you that they didn't get.
    Which is good news, as far as I'm concerned. lol
  • Gustav_GravesGustav_Graves
    edited November 2012 Posts: 11,119
    Samuel001 wrote:
    $90 four day remember, only $87.8 weekend. The three day finals, will stay around that figure, just missing $90 million.

    As of now:

    1. $1,037,291,060.32 - Thunderball
    2. $932,346,267.74 - Goldfinger
    3. $843,280,463.96 - Live And Let Die
    4. $773,204,227.54 - You Only Live Twice
    5. $707,967,950.50 - The Spy Who Loved Me
    6. $682,098,608.86 - Casino Royale
    7. $670,341,133.13 - Moonraker
    8. $662,795,358.02 - Diamonds Are Forever
    9. $629,928,504.77 - Quantum Of Solace
    10. $596,667,068.63 - From Russia With Love
    11. $555,648,360.42 - Die Another Day
    12. $534,777,984.42 - GoldenEye
    13. $517,040,163.49 - On Her Majesty's Secret Service
    14. $502,584,334.85 - The World Is Not Enough
    15. $497,181,376.24 - For Your Eyes Only
    16. $480,131,415.66 - Tomorrow Never Dies
    17. $458,120,146.04 - The Man With The Golden Gun
    18. $456,431,419.48 - Dr. No
    19. $435,630,647.59 - Octopussy
    20. $411,000,000.00 - Skyfall
    21. $389,480,795.77 - The Living Daylights
    22. $339,368,258.36 - A View To A Kill
    23. $291,436,616.45 - Licence To Kill

    International numbers are still to come.

    Wait a sec Samuel001! The numbers are being adjusted as we speak. Friday estimates were $30.8 million. Now adjusted to $31.7 million. Same goes for Saturday and Sunday. Just wait correcting your sheet until Monday afternoon USA time....

    Moreover, the figures outside USA have been updated now as well. As expected, 'Skyfall' is now officially past the $500 million mark. Which is truly...Thunderball-esque:


    Domestic: $90,000,000 17.4%
    + Foreign: $428,600,000 82.6%
    = Worldwide: $518,600,000




  • Samuel001Samuel001 Moderator
    Posts: 13,350
    International gross was $107 million:

    1. $1,037,291,060.32 - Thunderball
    2. $932,346,267.74 - Goldfinger
    3. $843,280,463.96 - Live And Let Die
    4. $773,204,227.54 - You Only Live Twice
    5. $707,967,950.50 - The Spy Who Loved Me
    6. $682,098,608.86 - Casino Royale
    7. $670,341,133.13 - Moonraker
    8. $662,795,358.02 - Diamonds Are Forever
    9. $629,928,504.77 - Quantum Of Solace
    10. $596,667,068.63 - From Russia With Love
    11. $555,648,360.42 - Die Another Day
    12. $534,777,984.42 - GoldenEye
    13. $518,600,000.00 - Skyfall
    14. $517,040,163.49 - On Her Majesty's Secret Service
    15. $502,584,334.85 - The World Is Not Enough
    16. $497,181,376.24 - For Your Eyes Only
    17. $480,131,415.66 - Tomorrow Never Dies
    18. $458,120,146.04 - The Man With The Golden Gun
    19. $456,431,419.48 - Dr. No
    20. $435,630,647.59 - Octopussy
    21. $389,480,795.77 - The Living Daylights
    22. $339,368,258.36 - A View To A Kill
    23. $291,436,616.45 - Licence To Kill
  • maxcraigmaxcraig
    edited November 2012 Posts: 229
    Only $76M away from Casino Royale. (unadjusted)
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