Are there any concerns over the box office prospects of Bond 25?
Personally, I'm a tad concerned as I think November/December are a little cluttered. When SF came out it was really bereft of any major competition. The only real challenger was Twilight and it didn't really stand much of a chance against SF after it's opening weekend came and went. However, SP did very well, but it did get stifled by the strong competition that surrounded it.
Bond 25 will have an even harder time. The film opens in the USA one week after Wonder Woman 1984. The first film was a hit and had a big cultural moment. The momentum will only increase with the sequel, which will almost certainly be bigger (possibly even a $1billion gross?). However, much of this will depend on quality. Despite the love and gender debate, Wonder Woman was a very average film. I can see the sequel being less revered.
Furthermore, you have both Star Wars Episode IX and Frozen 2 coming in the weeks that follow (both are likely to get to $1billion). Also, the Terminator reboot and Masters of the Universe are likely to gain the attention of young males who could otherwise have bought tickets for Bond 25.
Looking at the release schedule, I think Bond 25 should move up its international release date to the end of October.
I know everyone here things Bond is teflon-coated, but the flop of Solo: Star Wars Story can't be underestimated. It displayed that franchises can go stale. The Craig revolution has gone, and his films (especially SP) have left a bad taste. I can see Bond 25 underperforming at the domestic box office, especially with the untested Annapurna distributing and marketing.
SF aside, Craig's films haven't excelled at the NA b.o:
SP struggled to get to $200m (an important milestone), QOS failed to get its budget and CR was a modest success. The international numbers will hopefully play a huge part down the track (as they always do with Bond). I think the UK will turn up in droves to see a Danny Boyle/Daniel Craig Bond movie.
Obviously, so much is dependent on the quality of the film. Bond 25 may be brilliant and it may have a killer cast. But if Bond wants to succeed it's going to need a big sell. SF was the perfect storm (Adele's song, the Olympics skit, the 50th anniversary, the Sam Mendes factor, etc.), and I feel that hiring Danny Boyle is the right step to replicating that film's box office magic. Boyle just need to put together a terrific film that can play through Thanksgiving and Xmas.
Personally, it could go both ways. but considering the bad taste SP left (it's a very unrememberable film), the fatigue of Craig in the role, Craig's distasteful past comments about the part (believe me, people are still talking about this), and the long delay between films (general audiences appear to have forgotten about Bond - no one is really clamouring for Bond 25). I can see Bond 25 suffering.