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Difference is Captain Marvel was projected to open at $150 million prior to its release.
The Rhythm Section was projected to open at $10 milllion. And this was prior to the reviews being available. This would have been just about the same opening as another female-led action flick, Peppermint. On a $50 million budget though, this is nowhere near enough for this film to make any kind of profit at the box office. A $4 million to $9 million opening weekend, this film will lose quite a bit of money for whichever studio funded this. It most likely will not even earn back its budget from its world-wide gross, let alone its US box office intake.
And before I get attacked: I am excited to watch The Rhythm Section. But we have to face reality that EON should have kept their mouth shut instead of hyping up sequels. Those are dead in the water now. I now hope that this film will be a one-off badass addition to the revenge action flick genre.
When the film is about to flop, it's unrealistic to expect sequels. But anyway, I agree, I hope the film gets release dates confirmed in more countries (including France) as I really want to check it out.
I watched Jeremy Jahns' review too, I usually agree with him about action flicks, so this is good.
The reason i was looking forward to this because we might finally had a female spy franchise.
I don't know if this counts, but The Silence of the Lambs was actually a sequel...to a film that did nada.
From what I can find online, Manhunter made $8 million at the box office from a $14 million budget. The Rhythm Section will struggle to make $30 million worldwide on a $50 million budget, and if it can even reach $25 million remains to be seen.
Like I said: Manhunter did nada. LOL. But that wasn't exactly a franchise, and it wasn't a typical sequel either.
A closer example might be the Mad Max films. The original was a small, low-budget sci-fi / dystopian film that ended up drawing a cult following. It was anything but an international smash when first released--though it was huge in Australia. So it did indeed make a HUGE PROFIT. I don't remember though, if this was due to cult status and video sales, or actual opening weekend BO numbers. But it spawned two more Gibson films, with bigger budgets, and then Fury Road.
Nevertheless, someone failed to tell Blake Lively that her film is going to bomb. She's doing the circuit, and if her charm means anything at all, the film will perform better than expected. She's on The Tonight Show, with Jimmy Fallon, and is an absolute delight. And she's had nothing but praise for Babs.
I have no idea how TRS is going to fare. It's a mediocre film. But because of Lively, I hope it can do something.
Also: The original Mad Max earned $100 million world wide on a budget of less than 500 thousand dollars, and is one of the most profitable films of all time. So not a very good comparison for a movie that is about to not even earn back half of its $50 million budget.
Interesting, i guess we will have to wait and see if they will try to make a sequel which seems highly unlikely.
Oh I know. I was using your numbers to back up my own sense of it.
Mad Max is a difficult one. I don't think it was ever released outside of Australia: you're right, it blew up the Australian BO. But The Road Warrior (aka Mad Max 2) was initially released internationally and had a lot of studio push behind it. I remember seeing The Road Warrior when it came out and had no idea it was a sequel. I didn't see the first film until a couple of years later on VHS. Very unique situation.
Contrast to BAD BOYS FOR LIFE, which exceeded all expectations due to being dumped on January, being a sequel that was in development hell for 17 years, Will Smith and Martin Lawrence not exactly in the peak of their careers, Michael Bay not returning to direct, etc. The cards seemed to be weak for that film.
If THE RHYTHM SECTION had the same outcome as that, it would be the most miraculous January the box office has ever seen. I really doubt that's the case here. It's too bad.
A friend of mine was VAO on The Rhythm Section, and he said it was good set to be on, despite the delays.
Mabey best release dat for The Netherlands and Belgium be 14 May 2020 or 25 June 2020. With May release date it can give NTTD a boost with showing a trailer and other way around. The Hustle (May 2019) and Yesterday (End June 2019) stil doing a very nice 2 and 2,5 million after 13 and 7 weaks. Yesterday get DVD and BD release, The Hustle don't whyle there is a UK DVD version avaible with Dutch subs. Both movies are promoted to soon and Yesterday was first pland to be released in February or March 2019.
Possible second movie, information about the second book: At name and background of target in spoiler tags.
I can only find Dutch translations about two first books:
The rhythm section: De ritmesectie
Chameleon: Dubbellevens (Double Lifes)
Seeing it tomorrow!
I would go see it immediately if it had a release date in my country, sadly nothing confirmed yet. It was listed as a late April 2020 release here in France at one point, but has since been scrapped. Doesn't bode well for the film with only 8 countries with an official release date. It is already flopping in North America, with minimal money coming from foreign markets.
I did at a sneak peek